In recent years, China's PVC (polyvinyl chloride) production capacity and production have undergone major changes, and it has become one of the world's major producers of PVC resins. At the same time, however, there is still some blindness in the installation of the PVC resin industry in China. It is estimated that by 2011, the consumption of PVC resin in China will be approximately 13.5 million tons, and the total production capacity will exceed 20 million tons. At that time, there will be a surplus of production capacity, coupled with the existing waste of resources and unfair competition among enterprises, etc. It will affect the healthy development of the entire industry.
At present, there are several major problems in China's PVC industry: First, the product structure is irrational. Most of the domestic PVC companies can only produce general-purpose products, making the proportion of low-end products too high, and the shortage of high-end products depends on imports. The second is the prominent issue of high energy consumption and high pollution. The calcium carbide production process with high energy consumption and severe environmental pollution that has already been phased out in foreign countries still occupies a dominant position in China and is not conducive to competition in the international market. Third, the trade friction has intensified. China's PVC has been subjected to trade barriers such as anti-dumping measures from India and safeguard measures from Turkey. With the gradual increase of export concentration, similar risks in the future may increase further.
Industry experts believe that in view of the above factors that may affect the development of China's PVC industry, combined with the current status of production and consumption of China's PVC industry and development prospects, the future development of China's PVC resin industry should focus on the following seven aspects:
The first is to accelerate the integration and restructuring of enterprises, expand the scale of production, and eliminate a small number of small devices with high energy consumption and serious pollution. New (expanded) installations should pass environmental, health, and safety evaluations, and must comply with the pollutant emission targets and comprehensive resource requirements set forth in the "Calogenic Alkaline, PVC Cleaner Production Evaluation Index System" jointly issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the former State Environmental Protection Administration. .
The second is to improve product quality and strengthen exports. China's PVC industry is in a period of rapid development. The expansion of calcium carbide process PVC is unprecedentedly high, and downstream demand has also maintained rapid growth. In the next few years, raw materials will still be an important factor restricting PVC production, and imports will show a declining trend year by year. Therefore, all companies should continue to improve product quality, reduce production costs, regulate the export market, and enhance their competitiveness in the international market.
The third is to actively respond to export tax rebate policy. The reduction of export tax rebates and the adjustment of processing trade policies will, to some extent, affect the profits of China's PVC export enterprises. It is recommended that exporting companies reduce losses by increasing domestic sales, increasing general trade export prices, and expanding or expanding processing trade production scale. In addition, production companies should track exports in a timely manner, strengthen industrial early warning, and actively respond to measures such as adjusting product mix; strictly control product quality, reduce costs, and minimize adverse impacts.
Fourth, take the raw material route as the focus of future development. Ethylene PVC companies in China should adjust the route of raw materials. In the construction of large-scale PVC resin projects, they should consider the supply of raw material monomers as much as possible, and even build only monomer production facilities. This aspect can meet the current and future needs of domestic imports of VCM/EDC companies for a period of time to avoid domestic companies being restricted by foreign manufacturers; on the other hand, it supplies domestically-owned calcium carbide PVC resin plants to accelerate the use of raw materials for PVC resin in China. The transformation process has gradually optimized the structure of China's PVC industry and strengthened its competitiveness in the international market.
The fifth is to choose the appropriate production process. Although currently China's calcium carbide method PVC is undergoing a large-scale construction or expansion, it does not consider the future changes in industrial adjustments and structural upgrades, nor does it proceed from the protection of the environment and sustainable development. At present, the cost is relatively low and the price competition is at a low level. Under strong circumstances, the irreversible damage to the limited resources of the environment and ecology is hidden. In addition, from the perspectives of energy saving and consumption reduction, rational use of resources, development of recycling economy, protection of the environment, and implementation of sustainable development, ethylene process PVC is still an advanced and competitive PVC production process.
Sixth, we will adjust the product structure and vigorously develop dedicated and high value-added new products. At present, the PVC resin models produced by domestic calcium carbide and ethylene PVC resin manufacturers are universal, and the polymerization degree is basically concentrated in the range of 650 to 1300. The higher degree of polymerization of PVC resin products mainly depends on imports. To this end, domestic manufacturers, especially ethylene process route manufacturers, should increase the quality of general-purpose resin products and vigorously develop new products with high polymerization degree PVC, high transparent PVC, and toughened PVC resins that meet different requirements in order to increase The added value of the product maximizes product diversity and benefits.
Seventh, it is to promote the combination of chlor-alkali industry and petrochemical industry. The combination of chlor-alkali industry and petrochemical industry can make better use of resource advantages, give play to the advantages of the industrial chain, reduce costs, and enhance the ability to resist risks. At present, China's ethylene resin manufacturer of PVC resin only Sinopec Qilu Petrochemical Company has an industrial chain advantage, other manufacturers have not formed a coalition with the petrochemical industry in raw materials, raw material sources and prices are greatly affected by the international market, raw material supply The development of enterprises forms a major constraint. Therefore, adopting a combination of chlor-alkali and petrochemical industry will promote the large-scale production of PVC resin in China, internationalization of operations, and maximize the benefits from the minimum capital investment.
At present, there are several major problems in China's PVC industry: First, the product structure is irrational. Most of the domestic PVC companies can only produce general-purpose products, making the proportion of low-end products too high, and the shortage of high-end products depends on imports. The second is the prominent issue of high energy consumption and high pollution. The calcium carbide production process with high energy consumption and severe environmental pollution that has already been phased out in foreign countries still occupies a dominant position in China and is not conducive to competition in the international market. Third, the trade friction has intensified. China's PVC has been subjected to trade barriers such as anti-dumping measures from India and safeguard measures from Turkey. With the gradual increase of export concentration, similar risks in the future may increase further.
Industry experts believe that in view of the above factors that may affect the development of China's PVC industry, combined with the current status of production and consumption of China's PVC industry and development prospects, the future development of China's PVC resin industry should focus on the following seven aspects:
The first is to accelerate the integration and restructuring of enterprises, expand the scale of production, and eliminate a small number of small devices with high energy consumption and serious pollution. New (expanded) installations should pass environmental, health, and safety evaluations, and must comply with the pollutant emission targets and comprehensive resource requirements set forth in the "Calogenic Alkaline, PVC Cleaner Production Evaluation Index System" jointly issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the former State Environmental Protection Administration. .
The second is to improve product quality and strengthen exports. China's PVC industry is in a period of rapid development. The expansion of calcium carbide process PVC is unprecedentedly high, and downstream demand has also maintained rapid growth. In the next few years, raw materials will still be an important factor restricting PVC production, and imports will show a declining trend year by year. Therefore, all companies should continue to improve product quality, reduce production costs, regulate the export market, and enhance their competitiveness in the international market.
The third is to actively respond to export tax rebate policy. The reduction of export tax rebates and the adjustment of processing trade policies will, to some extent, affect the profits of China's PVC export enterprises. It is recommended that exporting companies reduce losses by increasing domestic sales, increasing general trade export prices, and expanding or expanding processing trade production scale. In addition, production companies should track exports in a timely manner, strengthen industrial early warning, and actively respond to measures such as adjusting product mix; strictly control product quality, reduce costs, and minimize adverse impacts.
Fourth, take the raw material route as the focus of future development. Ethylene PVC companies in China should adjust the route of raw materials. In the construction of large-scale PVC resin projects, they should consider the supply of raw material monomers as much as possible, and even build only monomer production facilities. This aspect can meet the current and future needs of domestic imports of VCM/EDC companies for a period of time to avoid domestic companies being restricted by foreign manufacturers; on the other hand, it supplies domestically-owned calcium carbide PVC resin plants to accelerate the use of raw materials for PVC resin in China. The transformation process has gradually optimized the structure of China's PVC industry and strengthened its competitiveness in the international market.
The fifth is to choose the appropriate production process. Although currently China's calcium carbide method PVC is undergoing a large-scale construction or expansion, it does not consider the future changes in industrial adjustments and structural upgrades, nor does it proceed from the protection of the environment and sustainable development. At present, the cost is relatively low and the price competition is at a low level. Under strong circumstances, the irreversible damage to the limited resources of the environment and ecology is hidden. In addition, from the perspectives of energy saving and consumption reduction, rational use of resources, development of recycling economy, protection of the environment, and implementation of sustainable development, ethylene process PVC is still an advanced and competitive PVC production process.
Sixth, we will adjust the product structure and vigorously develop dedicated and high value-added new products. At present, the PVC resin models produced by domestic calcium carbide and ethylene PVC resin manufacturers are universal, and the polymerization degree is basically concentrated in the range of 650 to 1300. The higher degree of polymerization of PVC resin products mainly depends on imports. To this end, domestic manufacturers, especially ethylene process route manufacturers, should increase the quality of general-purpose resin products and vigorously develop new products with high polymerization degree PVC, high transparent PVC, and toughened PVC resins that meet different requirements in order to increase The added value of the product maximizes product diversity and benefits.
Seventh, it is to promote the combination of chlor-alkali industry and petrochemical industry. The combination of chlor-alkali industry and petrochemical industry can make better use of resource advantages, give play to the advantages of the industrial chain, reduce costs, and enhance the ability to resist risks. At present, China's ethylene resin manufacturer of PVC resin only Sinopec Qilu Petrochemical Company has an industrial chain advantage, other manufacturers have not formed a coalition with the petrochemical industry in raw materials, raw material sources and prices are greatly affected by the international market, raw material supply The development of enterprises forms a major constraint. Therefore, adopting a combination of chlor-alkali and petrochemical industry will promote the large-scale production of PVC resin in China, internationalization of operations, and maximize the benefits from the minimum capital investment.
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